TRACEQUANTAI

Impact score: 50
- Source credibility: 55 (TokenPost)
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 45/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 90/100 (DXY)

CRCL, BMNR, and MSTR stock prices posted strong gains on Tuesday as the cryptocurrency market rallied, driven by renewed optimism over U.S. digital asset regulation and expectations surrounding the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Bitcoin climbed above $66,000, while Ethereum traded above $1,900 and XRP rose past $1.14. The broader crypto market also strengthened, with the total market capitalization increasing 2.08% to $2.26 trillion over the past 24 hours. Investor sentiment improved after pr

Impact score: 40
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 15/100
- Sentiment direction: -100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 55/100 (USDJPY)

Katayama's refusal to name a level, paired with the pivot to unsignalled intervention, is designed to raise the cost of holding short yen positions by removing the advance warning traders previously used to de-risk. That leaves USD/JPY vulnerable to a sharp, sudden reversal that wouldn't necessarily follow the pair crossing any obvious technical or psychological line. At the same time, the structural driver behind yen weakness, a roughly 250 to 275 basis point policy rate gap between the BOJ and

Impact score: 21
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 15/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

CENTCOM's insistence that the strait "remains open" is likely to do little to ease the risk premium already embedded in Brent and WTI, since the command's own figures imply throughput running at roughly a third of pre-war levels once averaged out. That's broadly consistent with, rather than a rebuttal of, the reduced Persian Gulf flow estimates that have been driving recent price gains. The gap between CENTCOM's vessel count and typical commercial-tracker transit numbers also points to a methodo

Impact score: 58
- Source credibility: 70 (Crypto Briefing)
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 90/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

Oil prices rise slightly after US military strikes on Iran. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 16.5% YES. The post Oil prices rise slightly after US military strikes on Iran appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

The explicit push to fund AI as a primary research instrument, alongside the 2028 quantum computing deployment target and the 10-reactor nuclear buildout by 2030, points to where a meaningful share of a $200 billion annual budget could flow, potentially a tailwind for quantum computing and AI infrastructure names, as well as nuclear and small modular reactor plays. The flip side is a headwind for the university research funding ecosystem, since large institutions that rely heavily on federal gra

Impact score: 36
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 90/100
- Sentiment direction: -100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exchange markets. China operates a managed floating exchange rate system, under which the renminbi (yuan) is allowed to trade within a prescribed band around a central reference rate, or midpoint, set each trading day by the PBOC. The current trading band permits the currency to move plus or minus 2% fr

Impact score: 21
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 15/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

Just the data in this post. I'll have more to come on this separately.  Earlier: USD/JPY hits fresh 40-year high above 163 as equities, yields and oil all gain  Exports to China +17.6% year/year exports to Asia +22.7% year/year exports to U.S. +13% year/year exports to EU +20.3% year/year This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Impact score: 57
- Source credibility: 60 (Bitcoin.com News)
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 75/100
- Sentiment direction: 60 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 90/100 (DXY)

Brent crude rose near $92 per barrel and WTI surged past $84—up over 20% since U.S.-Iran hostilities resumed—threatening higher inflation and delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts. Military Escalation Hits Infrastructure Brent crude oil surged toward $92 per barrel Tuesday as intense combat between U.S. forces and Iran stretched into its tenth day. The global benchmark […]

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

CENTCOM statement: CENTCOM forces began striking military targets in Iran at 7 p.m. ET today for the 11th consecutive night. The strikes are designed to continue degrading Iran's ability to threaten commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Some of the areas being targeted: This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Impact score: 38
- Source credibility: 60 (CoinGape)
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 75/100 (XAUUSD)

Kalshi is applying to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for permission to introduce perpetual futures contracts on gold, silver and platinum. This move comes part of the company’s latest strategy to expand its derivatives trading from crypto perpetual futures. Ad Ad Kalshi To Launch Gold, Silver, Platinum Perps For this, Kalshi went through The post Breaking: Kalshi Files For Gold, Silver, Platinum Futures To Expand Beyond Crypto appeared first on CoinGape.

Impact score: 21
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 15/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

This marks the first time the administration has put a concrete timeline on tariffing generic drugs, a category that had been explicitly exempted from April's Section 232 pharmaceutical proclamation. The two-year runway gives generic manufacturers and importers time to adjust supply chains, but the eventual 100% and 200% rates signal the White House intends the tariff regime to eventually cover the entire pharmaceutical sector rather than carve generics out permanently. Because generics account

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

The Houthi blockade threat strikes directly at the Red Sea route that has been absorbing Saudi crude diverted from the closed Strait of Hormuz, leaving Riyadh with a rapidly narrowing set of export options. Confirmed tanker reversals, rather than just verbal threats, mark a shift from risk pricing to actual physical disruption, which markets are likely to treat as a stronger signal than rhetoric alone. Gasoline back above $4 a gallon points to the conflict's inflationary spillover reaching consu

Impact score: 27
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 45/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

The breakout above 162.84 has drawn in a mix of model-driven and hedging-related flows, with stop-loss buying and topside option demand reinforcing the move once resistance gave way. Subdued implied volatility suggests the options market isn't yet pricing an aggressive extension of the trend, even as spot pushes to fresh highs. A 55-pip breakeven pointing to resistance near 163.50 gives bulls a clear near-term target, while 162.84 and the day's low of 162.44 offer the first support levels on any

Impact score: 24
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 30/100
- Sentiment direction: -100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

ING's scenario analysis frames a hawkish-leaning hold as the base case, with EUR/USD seen holding around 1.140 and 10-year Bund yields near 3.15% under that outcome. A more dovish tilt would likely pull EUR/USD back toward 1.130 and Bund yields toward 3.05%, while a surprise 25bp hike could push EUR/USD to 1.150 and Bund yields to 3.20%. ING said rates continue to take their cue from oil, with a September hike already close to fully priced in barring an easing in crude prices. On FX, the bank se

Impact score: 27
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 45/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

The rally reflects the market pricing in a higher chance of sustained logistical disruption rather than confirmed lost barrels, with traders watching Saudi export routes to Asia and Red Sea transit closely for further deterioration. Brent's extended run in overbought territory suggests positioning has become stretched, raising the risk of a sharp reversal if de-escalation talk gains traction. The tanker reversals and blockade threat point to rising freight and insurance costs alongside any physi

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

Iranian State TV with the info: Iran’s top joint military command says all U.S. and its allies interests in the region will be targeted if U.S. attacks Iran’s nuclear sites Says if U.S. attacks Iran’s nuclear sites, it will be an ‘expansion of war’ in the region This sor t of headlkine keeping a bid under oil.  I posted yesterday on the threat to Pickaxe Mountain: Israel believes Iran moved nuclear centrifuges into Pickaxe Mountain This article was written by Eam

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

The spread between Goldman's base case and its upside scenario underscores how sensitive crude markets remain to Gulf shipping risk. A sustained Hormuz disruption would tighten physical supply sharply, given the strait's role in global flows, while thin inventories leave little buffer to absorb a shock. Traders are likely to keep pricing in a geopolitical premium as long as ceasefire talks remain unresolved, with diesel tightness and Red Sea threats adding further upside pressure. Conversely, an

Impact score: 51
- Source credibility: 60 (crypto.news)
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 45/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 90/100 (DXY)

Bitcoin’s move above $66,000 has lifted CRCL, BMNR and MSTR by as much as 8.6% as investors position for the Federal Reserve’s July meeting. According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin climbed past $66,000 on July 21, while Ethereum traded above…

Impact score: 47
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 4 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

more to come Expectations I had seen centred on: Headline crude -1.1 mn barrels Distillates +0.7 mn bbls Gasoline -1.5 mn This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Impact score: 47
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 4 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

more to come Expectations I had seen centred on: Headline crude -1.1 mn barrels Distillates +0.7 mn bbls Gasoline -1.5 mn This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Impact score: 42
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 2 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

Secretary of War Hegseth needs more money for war Crude oil futures settle at $84.91 Tension in the middle east intensifies Apple Reinvents the upgrade cycle. Stock price moves higher European Stocks finish strong; Wall Street builds on the momentum Trump meets with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun in the White House Canada Carney: Latest tariff threat are a violation of USMCA USTR Greer: Canada is giving other countries better trade deals Pres. Trump: Reportedly rejects proposal for a 10 day ceas

Impact score: 40
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

Secretary of War Hegseth needs more money for war Crude oil futures settle at $84.91 Tension in the middle east intensifies Apple Reinvents the upgrade cycle. Stock price moves higher European Stocks finish strong; Wall Street builds on the momentum Trump meets with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun in the White House Canada Carney: Latest tariff threat are a violation of USMCA USTR Greer: Canada is giving other countries better trade deals Pres. Trump: Reportedly rejects proposal for a 10 day ceas

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

None of this is likely to shift around financial marekts too much upon release.  I’ve noted data for New Zealand and Australia with text as the similarity of the little flags can sometimes be confusing. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.

Impact score: 54
- Source credibility: 60 (CoinGape)
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 60/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 90/100 (DXY)

CRCL, BMNR, and MSTR stock prices have seen a surge over the past 24 hours following the crypto market surge Bitcoin price rose to over $66,000, and Ethereum reached over $1,900 and XRP price rose to over $1.14.  The total crypto market cap increased 2.08% to $2.26 trillion within 24 hours.  The investor mood was The post CRCL, BMNR and MSTR Stock Price Prediction Ahead of FOMC Meeting appeared first on CoinGape.

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

It used to be the Secretary of Defense, but the high-T Pete Hegseth - the US Secretary of War - is going to Congress for urgent funds needed to replace equipment lost or damaged in combat.  He is requesting $2 billion. The Senate must pass a $67 billion supplemental package. President Trump and senior administration officials have repeatedly argued that U.S. military operations have severely degraded Iran's conventional military capabilities. Their comments have focused on several themes: Missi

Impact score: 40
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

The price of crude oil futures are settling at $84.91. That is up $1.68 or 2.02%. The price has been up six or last seven trading days. On July 2, the low price for the cycle was reached at $67.04. Since then the price is up 25.48%. The AAA price of a gallon of gas reached a low of $3.78 on July 7. The current average price is $4.02. February 27, 2026:$2.98 per gallon for regular unleaded. This marked the period just before geopolitical tensions in the Middle East began driving oil and gasolin

Impact score: 21
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 15/100
- Sentiment direction: -100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

Recent headline news that of the Middle East includes: Iranian Army says shut down a one-way attack drone in the country's northwest. Reports from unofficial sources in Iraq said that three American helicopters from troops in the Al-Badaiya Desert in Iraq.  About an hour later, the helicopters took off and flew toward Jordan. IDF says Lebanese Army personnel breached pilot area in Lebanon and Israel fired warning shots into the air. The Lebanese president is meeting with Pres. Trump today. Powe

Impact score: 37
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 15/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 45/100 (AUDUSD)

The AUDUSD moved lower into the start of trading today, but once again found willing buyers against its rising 100-hour moving average. That is an important development because the pair also attracted buyers at that same technical level during yesterday's Asia-Pacific session. In other words, the last two tests of the 100-hour moving average have been defended by buyers, reinforcing its importance as a key short-term support level. The rebound from today's low extended from 0.6991 to 0.7026, ca

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

Apple is reportedly preparing to launch a new hardware leasing program called Apple Upgrade, marking one of the company's biggest changes to how it sells devices. The service, expected to launch on July 28, would allow customers to lease eligible iPhones, iPads, Macs, and Apple Watches through monthly payments rather than purchasing them outright. The program is reportedly being backed by Klarna and will require only a soft credit check. The program is designed to work much like a car lease or

Impact score: 21
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 15/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

European equity markets finished the session broadly higher, with buying seen across the region as investors maintained a positive risk tone. Spain and Italy led the major indices, while Germany, the UK, and France also posted solid gains. 🇫🇷 France (CAC 40): 8,363.15 (+23.03, +0.28%) 🇬🇧 UK (UK 100): 10,585.91 (+61.16, +0.58%) 🇪🇸 Spain (IBEX 35): 19,379.81 (+172.92, +0.90%) 🇮🇹 Italy (FTSE MIB): 52,285.08 (+422.30, +0.81%) Spain's IBEX 35 was the strongest performer among the major

Impact score: 36
- Source credibility: 55 (CryptoDaily)
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

Brent crude fell 1.4% to ~$88 after mediators floated a 10‑day U.S.–Iran ceasefire, trimming the risk premium from a $91.42 peak. EIA stock build adds drag.

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

Trump is speaking to reporters in the Oval Office along with the Lebanese president who is visiting: Relationship with Lebanon very good. We're going to help Lebanon a lot. On Houthi blockade: We'll see what happens. Will be speak about Lebanese Army taking over villages that Hezbollah withdrew from Will be looking at issues in pilot zones. Would speak to Hezbollah if Aoun wanted him to Iran wants to desperately meet. We are not leaving Iran No interest in meeting Iran until they are re

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

Pres. Trump and Canada PM Carney are facing off once again on trade.  Carney said the Trump administration's newly announced tariffs violate the spirit of the USMCA, but noted that he and President Trump spoke today and agreed to intensify trade negotiations over the coming weeks in an effort to reach a resolution before the tariffs are scheduled to take effect. He adds: He will look at all options if the United States goes ahead with latest tariff threats He does not want a partial trade agre

Impact score: 47
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 90/100 (DXY)

The USDJPY is extending to the upside once again, supported by rising U.S. Treasury yields and persistent demand for the U.S. dollar. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield is up 3.4 basis points to 4.632%, while the 2-year yield has climbed 3.2 basis points to 4.246%, helping to widen the interest rate advantage in favor of the dollar. Technically, the move has carried the pair above the July 1 high at 162.833, pushing USDJPY to its highest level in nearly 40 years. The session high has reached

Impact score: 24
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 30/100
- Sentiment direction: -100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 45/100 (USDCAD)

The USDCAD is pushing to a new session high, bringing the pair to a key technical inflection point as buyers test the falling 200-hour moving average, currently at 1.40858. That level has taken on added importance after serving as the catalyst for the latest downside correction. Recall that the pair broke below the 200-hour moving average on July 8, shifting the short-term bias in favor of sellers and triggering a steady decline that ultimately carried the price to a low just above the 1.4000 le

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

Canada is giving other countries better trade deals Canada trade action is tailored We have been asking Canadians for a year to remove retaliation to Trump's tariffs. Have good relationship with Canadian counterparts. On USMCA Trump in some ways have already taken related actions Trump wants to see deficit to go down with Canada Trump wants to see more manufacturing in the US On Europe, says that there has been a agreement that there not be subsidies. Sites that Airbus gets unfair loans at a di

Impact score: 47
- Source credibility: 60 (Finbold)
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 75/100
- Sentiment direction: -100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 55/100 (EURUSD)

Peter Schiff, chief economist and global strategist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, has warned that the AI stocks bubble may … Continue reading The post Peter Schiff says AI stocks bubble burst has likely happened amid SpaceX selloff appeared first on Finbold.

Impact score: 42
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 2 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

Reports citing the Jerusalem Post say that Pres. Trump has rejected a proposal for a 10 day cease-fire with Iran. Recall from yesterday, there were reports of this cease-fire which sent oil prices to the downside and briefly below its 100 hour moving average (blue line on the chart below) before bouncing back to the upside and closing higher on the day. Crude oil prices are currently trading at $84.15 that's up around $1.63 on the day. The price is trading at the session highs and looks toward

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent made a series of comments in a Fox Business Network interview covering Iran, China, AI, and the U.S. economy. In reverse chronological order, his key remarks were: saved $100 million from stopping payments to deceased people. Thank they can save 350 million this year from payments overall US rose $130 million in a crypto while tied to the Iran's IRGC On Iran, China, have seen a substantial increase in purchases of arranging oil. On AI says that we are find

Impact score: 18
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

For the four weeks ending July 4, 2026, US private employers added an average of 16,500 jobs a week. Hiring slowed for the fourth straight week. The numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added. What is it? Three times a month, Main Street Macro releases the NER Pulse, an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average. These releases are seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow for more complete and accurate estimates of real-

Impact score: 37
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 55/100 (USDJPY)

The USD is mixed to little changed vs the three major currency pairs - the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD.  In the video above, I speak to the technicals that are helping to drive the price action for each. All traders should understand the bias, the risk and the targets for trades. I define those levels for each and explain and show why from a technical perspective in the video. Kickstart the North American session by understanding the roadmap.   Meanwhile, UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham's proposal

Impact score: 46
- Source credibility: 85 (MarketWatch Top Stories)
- Velocity: 2 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 65/100 (USOIL)

The spread between the cost of barrels of gasoline and crude oil — known as the “crack spread” — has widened sharply.

Impact score: 27
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 45/100
- Sentiment direction: -100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

German ZEW survey shows pick up in recovery mood in July Eurozone banks tighten lending standards further as geopolitical risks weigh on credit conditions Trouble already for Burnham in his first policy announcement? Iran says any decision to reopen the Strait of Hormuz depends on security considerations FX option expiries for 21 July 10am New York cut UK unemployment rate holds steady in May, payrolls decline again in June UK prime minister Burnham announces VAT cut from energy bills to bring d

Impact score: 49
- Source credibility: 85 (MarketWatch Top Stories)
- Velocity: 2 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 75/100 (XAUUSD)

For the last few years, China’s buying patterns have been an excellent investment signal on gold

Impact score: 47
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 1 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 90/100 (DXY)

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW   USD: The US dollar has been under some pressure since last week as the soft US inflation data led to a dovish repricing in Fed interest rate expectations. There’s now just a 15% chance of a rate hike in July, but the probabilities for a September move remain above 50% (currently 61%). The US-Iran crisis in the background is keeping inflation risks skewed to the upside, so the downside in the greenback should remain limited without a

Impact score: 50
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 2 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 0/100
- Sentiment direction: 0 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 90/100 (DXY)

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW   The S&P 500 has been mostly rangebound this month as the US-Iran crisis brought back inflation and growth risks. This has also happened amid overcrowded stock market positioning which has led to deleveraging across the board. Last week’s soft US inflation data helped limiting the downside as the peak inflation narrative got stronger and we got a dovish repricing in Fed interest rates expectations. Nonetheless, the situation i

Impact score: 21
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 0 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 15/100
- Sentiment direction: 100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100

July current conditions -77.6 vs -77.8 expected Prior -81.0 July outlook 26.3 vs 17.5 expected Prior 10.5 Even with a slight rebound, current conditions remain subdued and that is reflective of the dampened economic mood as a result of the Middle East conflict. As tensions escalate once again, that is just making for a tough time for German firms. The good news at least is that the outlook is seen picking up going into July. ZEW notes that: "The economic outlook continues to improve in July. It

Impact score: 59
- Source credibility: 70 (investingLive (ForexLive))
- Velocity: 2 related signal(s) in the last 60 min
- Sentiment intensity: 100/100
- Sentiment direction: -100 (-100 bearish .. 100 bullish)
- Sentiment confidence: n/a/100
- Asset importance: 55/100 (EURUSD)

Full report here The ECB's Bank Lending Survey showed that euro area banks continued to tighten lending standards in the second quarter, reflecting heightened concerns over the economic outlook, geopolitical tensions and energy-related risks. Banks reported a moderate tightening of credit standards for corporate loans (net 7%), as well as for housing loans (9%) and consumer credit (12%). The main drivers were weaker risk tolerance and higher perceived credit risks. Banks expect lending standar